Lawrence Central
Boys - Girls
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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State Rank #7
Carmel Semi-State Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #4
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 7th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 25.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 76.2%
Advance to State Finals 80.0%
Advance to Semi-State 80.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
8  Matt Dorsey 12 15:51
29  Chandler Ball 12 16:06
38  Cole Hester 12 16:09
145  Darin Lawrence 10 16:46
Adam Turner 12 16:59
Vencent Hill 11 17:59
Drew Lukens 9 18:09
Grant Tomlin 11 18:13
Danny Davila 11 18:28
DateRace Rating
08/18 Bloomington North Early Bird 211
09/08 Eagle Classic 504
09/15 Flashrock Invitational 270
09/22 Culver Invitational 226
09/29 Marion County Meet 230
10/03 Conference Indiana 191
10/09 Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional 325
10/13 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional 212
10/20 Carmel Semi-State 245
10/27 State Finals 287




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 80.0% 6.7 217 0.6 2.0 4.7 7.6 10.3 12.0 12.6 11.9 9.3 5.4 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 80.0% 3.9 103 1.4 7.4 18.6 26.1 26.0 0.5
Regionals 100% 4.2 114 2.4 10.3 22.5 25.6 19.2 11.2 6.2 2.1 0.5
Sectionals 100% 2.1 56 39.6 28.7 19.5 9.9 2.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 94.5% 11.6 1.8 3.0 4.1 4.4 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.7 4.4 3.8 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.1 2.3 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.6 72.7% 93.3%
Chandler Ball 82.1% 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.6 10.6% 59.8%
Cole Hester 80.6% 32.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.9 2.0 3.3% 47.7%
Darin Lawrence 80.0% 94.6 0.0% 0.1%
Adam Turner 80.0% 113.6 0.0% 0.0%
Vencent Hill 80.0% 177.4 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Lukens 80.0% 181.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 97.3% 4.1 8.7 15.5 12.9 11.1 9.8 7.0 6.2 5.5 4.0 3.5 2.7 1.9 2.0 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 86.4% 96.9%
Chandler Ball 85.3% 11.2 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.0 3.9 4.3 4.9 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 4.9 4.3 4.8 4.3 3.6 3.5 2.9 3.1 2.3 2.2 1.7 1.5 1.0 0.8 26.7% 70.9%
Cole Hester 82.7% 13.6 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.3 2.4 4.0 3.9 4.3 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.5 3.7 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.6 13.6% 59.7%
Darin Lawrence 80.0% 41.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.0% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 100% 3.7 9.5 17.5 14.9 11.9 9.7 7.7 6.3 4.8 3.7 3.0 2.5 1.8 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 100.0%
Chandler Ball 100% 10.8 0.2 1.2 3.1 4.3 4.9 5.8 7.2 6.7 6.6 5.8 5.7 5.1 5.3 4.6 4.5 4.4 3.4 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.6 2.0 1.8 1.4 1.0 99.8%
Cole Hester 100% 13.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.6 5.6 5.9 5.9 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.3 3.1 2.5 2.3 2.0 99.6%
Darin Lawrence 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 31.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Dorsey 1.6 33.3 25.8 18.4 11.9 6.3 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Chandler Ball 4.8 1.0 6.3 11.2 15.9 19.0 16.4 11.8 7.9 4.8 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cole Hester 5.7 0.4 3.0 6.2 11.4 15.8 17.9 15.5 10.3 7.8 5.0 2.8 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Darin Lawrence 17.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.4 4.2 4.7 5.1 5.9 6.6 7.5 8.2 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.4 5.4 5.1 4.2 4.2